FishingBanter

FishingBanter (http://www.fishingbanter.com/index.php)
-   Fly Fishing (http://www.fishingbanter.com/forumdisplay.php?f=6)
-   -   What's a boy to do? (http://www.fishingbanter.com/showthread.php?t=24102)

Wolfgang October 27th, 2006 11:40 PM

What's a boy to do?
 

Scott Seidman wrote:
"Wolfgang" wrote in :


The question.......what should you do?

Wolfgang



If I recall correctly, you should change your mind. When you chose the
first, you had a 1/3 chance of being right, and nothing has changed that.
If you change your mind now, that gives you a 2/3 chance of being correct.
I'm pretty sure I'm dead wrong on that 2/3 number, though, but the chance
is more than 0.5.


Actually, I believe your exactly right about the 2/3. :)

Um.....well, it's been a couple hours since I last looked at the
solution, so I could be wrong. :(

The key is that the removal process is not random.


Yep.

Wolfgang


Wolfgang October 27th, 2006 11:43 PM

What's a boy to do?
 

Bob Weinberger wrote:

The obvious answer is to pick up board no.3, hit you over the head with it,
find the $5 ( plus any other spare change you have in your pocket) and
leave. 8~ ).


Ladies and gentlemen, we have a winner! :)

Wolfgang
don't forget to torch the place on your way out.......dna is a stone
cold bitch!


Wolfgang October 27th, 2006 11:57 PM

What's a boy to do?
 

basilratbone wrote:

I'd knock you in the head and take the money. If it wasnt under the
boards it would surely be in your pocket along with several other pieces
of folding money. Problem solved!
"a friend"


Do I know you?

Um......aside from your profession, that is.

Dumbass.

Wolfgang


Wolfgang October 28th, 2006 02:56 AM

What's a boy to do?
 

wrote:
Wolfgang wrote:
An interesting problem was recently brought to my attention.

Let us say that you and I are standing next to a table on which I have
placed three boards identical in every respect except that each has a
different number painted on it.....1, 2, and 3, respectively.

I say to you that if you turn your back I will place a five dollar bill
under one of the boards and a slip of paper that says "you lose" under each
of the others. You then turn back to face the table and point to or name
the board you think has the five dollar bill under it. If you're right, you
win the five bucks.

We proceed. You pick, say, board number one. I say, "O.k., tell you what,
I like you so I'm going to make this easier for you," and I remove board
number three to show you that it has a "you lose" tag under it. Obviously,
the five dollars must be under one of the other two. "So," I say, "would
you like to stick with your original pick, or change your mind?"

It is a given that the game is not rigged in any way and you are not being
fooled by anything ambiguous or otherwise misleading in the description.

The question.......what should you do?


Assuming that I trust you, it doesn't matter. It's 50/50 chance
you can stick with your current pick or switch.

Given it's you, it REALLY doesn't matter since the $5 is probably
in your pocket.


Uh huh. Was there anything else?

Wolfgang


Tim J. October 28th, 2006 03:43 AM

What's a boy to do?
 

Wolfgang typed:
An interesting problem was recently brought to my attention.


I like that one. Here's another less thought provoking oldie:

We put you in a room and fill it with deaf people. Given the room is now
quite crowded, we remove dead people, but add bad people. How many
people are now in the room?
--
TL,
Tim
---------------------------
http://css.sbcma.com/timj/



vincent p. norris October 28th, 2006 03:45 AM

What's a boy to do?
 
When you chose the first, you had a 1/3 chance of being right, and nothing has changed that.

Scott, I assume you know what a Tontine is. Suppose you and two
friends form one. Overlooking health and age differences and the fact
that one smokes and drinks heavily, each of you has one chance in
three of winning.

Later, one of the others dies. Now, what is your chance of winning?

vince

[email protected] October 28th, 2006 04:02 AM

What's a boy to do?
 
On Fri, 27 Oct 2006 22:43:52 -0400, "Tim J."
wrote:


Wolfgang typed:
An interesting problem was recently brought to my attention.


I like that one. Here's another less thought provoking oldie:

We put you in a room and fill it with deaf people. Given the room is now
quite crowded, we remove dead people, but add bad people. How many
people are now in the room?


That could be BAFfling...

TC,
R

Tim J. October 28th, 2006 04:39 AM

What's a boy to do?
 

typed:
On Fri, 27 Oct 2006 22:43:52 -0400, "Tim J."
wrote:


Wolfgang typed:
An interesting problem was recently brought to my attention.


I like that one. Here's another less thought provoking oldie:

We put you in a room and fill it with deaf people. Given the room is
now quite crowded, we remove dead people, but add bad people. How
many people are now in the room?


That could be BAFfling...


.... but wrong.
--
TL,
Tim
---------------------------
http://css.sbcma.com/timj/



[email protected] October 28th, 2006 04:46 AM

What's a boy to do?
 
On Fri, 27 Oct 2006 23:39:09 -0400, "Tim J."
wrote:


typed:
On Fri, 27 Oct 2006 22:43:52 -0400, "Tim J."
wrote:


Wolfgang typed:
An interesting problem was recently brought to my attention.

I like that one. Here's another less thought provoking oldie:

We put you in a room and fill it with deaf people. Given the room is
now quite crowded, we remove dead people, but add bad people. How
many people are now in the room?


That could be BAFfling...


... but wrong.


How?

deaf-dead = 2, 2 + bad = baf, no?

May not be, but if not, ???

TC,
R

Tim J. October 28th, 2006 05:24 AM

What's a boy to do?
 

typed:
On Fri, 27 Oct 2006 23:39:09 -0400, "Tim J."
wrote:


typed:
On Fri, 27 Oct 2006 22:43:52 -0400, "Tim J."
wrote:


Wolfgang typed:
An interesting problem was recently brought to my attention.

I like that one. Here's another less thought provoking oldie:

We put you in a room and fill it with deaf people. Given the room
is now quite crowded, we remove dead people, but add bad people.
How many people are now in the room?

That could be BAFfling...


... but wrong.


How?

deaf-dead = 2, 2 + bad = baf, no?

May not be, but if not, ???


You never left the room.
--
TL,
Tim
---------------------------
http://css.sbcma.com/timj/




All times are GMT +1. The time now is 03:50 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004 - 2006 FishingBanter