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Old July 12th, 2006, 07:17 PM posted to rec.outdoors.fishing.fly
RalphH
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Posts: 30
Default Movie: An Inconvenient Truth



--
Some of my angling snaps:

http://gallery.fishbc.com/gallery/vi...bumName=RalphH

I don't doubt that there's something going on, but I don't believe the
scientific studies. It has been a while now, but I knew some of the
scientists who were doing the computer simulation models. Even those
doing the modelling admitted that their models were drastically
inaccurate. Tweaking knobs slightly caused wildly different results.
Their models didn't correlate with the observed measurements.


from memory. I was taking geography course when the initial buzz about
global warming started about 25 years ago. Subsequently I read that
comparisons of actual climatic results to the computer simulations of the
time indicated the results were far more moderate than the predictions.
There is little doubt global warming is taking place. Reliable information
on mean air temperature, rainfall, ocean temperature, glacial movements,
polar ice cap depth and extent have been taken for many decades and these
all indicate "warming". The bigger question is do we know the cause and can
we do anything about it? Is this a relatively short term trend like the
"little ice age" of hundreds of years ago?
The earth and been both signficantly cooler and warmer in prehistory (based
on pollen samples). Temperatures in moderate latitudes were much higher in
the millenium after the official end of the last ice age. So is this just a
natural trend or a man made trend. I'd bet the later is a factor and we'd be
fool not to try to reduce our CO2 output. Conversely I wish I had a buck for
every expert who told me the world was going to end in the next 2 or 3
decades. Still none the less the sunset of our petro based economy is
expected, switching from fossil fuels to alternate sources makes sense long
term in this regard alone.