View Single Post
  #10  
Old October 28th, 2006, 02:44 PM posted to rec.outdoors.fishing.fly
asadi
external usenet poster
 
Posts: 688
Default What's a boy to do?


"Wolfgang" wrote in message
...
An interesting problem was recently brought to my attention.
The question.......what should you do?


Wolfgang




When you first picked, you had a one in three chance of being right.

With one board removed, your pick 'still' has a one in three (33 1/3 %)
chance of being right.

However, with only two boards left, you can chance your chances. If you pick
a different board (the remaining) you will now have a one in two (50%)
chance of being right. it behooves you to re-pick.

john