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Old November 2nd, 2006, 12:58 PM posted to rec.outdoors.fishing.fly
riverman
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Posts: 173
Default What's a boy to do?


"Scott Seidman" wrote in message
. 1.4...
"riverman" wrote in news:1162440298.459352.48600
@e3g2000cwe.googlegroups.com:

The combinatoric arrangement merely gives all
the arrangements.


Yes, and has next to nothing to do with the probability of any outcomes.

In five years, there are two possible outcomes to the experiment "Who has
more money, me, or Donald Trump". I could have more money, or he can have
more money. By your logic, I therefore have a 50% chance of having more
money than The Donald. Good to know.


That's a seriously lame strawman argument.

Speaking of straws....put three straws in your hand...one short, one medium,
one long. What's the probability of drawing the shortest one last?

And what's the probability of drawing the longest one first, and the
shortest one after that?

--riverman