"Stan Gula" wrote in message
news:Fik2h.10075$gf5.7278@trndny01...
...In practice, I would prefer to find an approximation to the solution
through Monte Carlo simulation (with real darts, not a computer model),
accompanied by large quantities of fermented malt. In which case I'd
hazard (hah!) a guess that the probability approaches 1 as the amount of
malt consumed approaches unconsciousness.

All well and good as a purely intellectual exercise but in real world
situations one cannot afford a cavalier disregard (such as you have
demonstrated here) for the effects of important variables like (in this
instance) time. If the probability's approach to 1 is proportional to the
approach of looming unconsciousness (a proposition I am not prepared to
contest) it may nevertheless prove to be chimerical, depending, obviously,
on whether or not (and, if so, when) the blessed union with the cosmic
consciousness occurs. This, in turn, is a function of rate of consumption
over time.*

Wolfgang
*precise analyses do, of course, also depend on mitigating factors like body
mass, whether the malt is consumed in a raw or distilled form, etc., but
these details need not concern us here as they can (and, indeed, must) be
determined empirically in each experimental run.