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Old September 27th, 2008, 07:50 PM posted to rec.outdoors.fishing.fly
Tom Littleton
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Posts: 1,741
Default It's looking like Obama/Biden may not finish at all...


"Ken Fortenberry" wrote in message
...
daytripper wrote:
http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...ll_update.html

Spin that.


Remember the Bradley Effect. People lie to pollsters about
voting for black candidates. Most pollsters and political
scientists have pegged the Bradley Effect at around 7%.

Those polls don't look so good to me.

--
Ken Fortenberry


sorry, Ken, but you are very much out-of-date. Current estimates, based on
recent elections(post-2000), peg the effect at less than 2%. Further, recent
work by the Pew Study group show that it is very likely that most, if not
all, major polling organizations are undercounting the Obama support by
close to 5%. I can't understand why any Democrat would be scared by current
numbers, beyond the fact that those numbers are merely current, and
gawd-knows-what could happen between now and Nov.4.
Tom