"Ken Fortenberry" wrote in message
...
daytripper wrote:
http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...ll_update.html
Spin that.
Remember the Bradley Effect. People lie to pollsters about
voting for black candidates. Most pollsters and political
scientists have pegged the Bradley Effect at around 7%.
Those polls don't look so good to me.
--
Ken Fortenberry
sorry, Ken, but you are very much out-of-date. Current estimates, based on
recent elections(post-2000), peg the effect at less than 2%. Further, recent
work by the Pew Study group show that it is very likely that most, if not
all, major polling organizations are undercounting the Obama support by
close to 5%. I can't understand why any Democrat would be scared by current
numbers, beyond the fact that those numbers are merely current, and
gawd-knows-what could happen between now and Nov.4.
Tom