Tom Littleton wrote:
"Ken Fortenberry" wrote:
daytripper wrote:
http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...ll_update.html

Spin that.
Remember the Bradley Effect. People lie to pollsters about
voting for black candidates. Most pollsters and political
scientists have pegged the Bradley Effect at around 7%.

Those polls don't look so good to me.

sorry, Ken, but you are very much out-of-date. Current estimates, based on
recent elections(post-2000), peg the effect at less than 2%. Further, recent
work by the Pew Study group show that it is very likely that most, if not
all, major polling organizations are undercounting the Obama support by
close to 5%.

I've never been happier to stand corrected.

I can't understand why any Democrat would be scared by current
numbers, beyond the fact that those numbers are merely current, and
gawd-knows-what could happen between now and Nov.4.

Everything scares me, especially the October Surprise I know
is coming.

--
Ken Fortenberry