wrote in message
...
On Wed, 01 Oct 2008 19:03:46 -0700, mb wrote:
In article ,
wrote:
Can you say McGovern/Eagleton...
Sheesh,
R
On top of that, unrelated surveys show Obama beating McCain in several
battlegrounds, including Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania -- three states
critical in the state-by-state fight for the presidency.
Several GOP strategists close to McCain's campaign privately fret that
his chances for victory are starting to slip away.
These Republicans, speaking on condition of anonymity to avoid angering
the campaign, point to several factors: Obama's gains nationally and in
traditionally GOP states, no McCain gain from the first debate, McCain's
struggles with economic issues as the financial crisis has unfolded and
deepening public skepticism about his running mate, Sarah Palin.
They said McCain's options for shaking up the race are essentially
limited to game-changing performances in the final presidential debates
or in Palin's vice presidential debate with Joe Biden Thursday night.
Short of that, they said, McCain can do little but hope Obama stumbles
or an outside event breaks the GOP nominee's way
Good points, but perhaps a bit too over-aggressive in thinking. Obama's
supposed "gains" have eroded _slightly_ in the last 24-48 hours, and the
whole bailout bull**** will keep things unusually stirred for the next
few days or so. I'd say that if Palin wins, McCain wins bigger, and if
she loses badly, it might well trend toward a hard road for him. But,
hey, this is politics, so a coupla days is like years in the real world.
Evidence is pretty clear that both have a _solid_ 40 percent or so, and
another 4-ish as probables. Nader and Barr will split something like 5
percent. That leaves 10-ish percent deciding. Here's a wild prediction
- if the election were tomorrow, Obama would take Florida and Georgia,
but McCain would take...are you ready, NY, NJ, and sorry, Tom, but PA.
It should come as no surprise that as you greatest fan here, I frequently
re-read many of the jewels with which you so graciously bless us. Upon my
third or fourth admiring perusal of the above included sterling example, I
was particularly struck by this part:
"Here's a wild prediction - if the election were tomorrow, Obama would take
Florida and Georgia, but McCain would take...are you ready, NY, NJ, and
sorry, Tom, but PA."
Now, as I know you are a sporting gent, I'd like to propose a friendly
little wager on this prediction. Say, about $4,583,900.56?
Wolfgang
who hardly expects to be taken advantage of by one with a justifiable
iron-clad confidence in his own prognosticatory genius, regardless of the
accuracy (or lack thereof) of the old adage concerning when tomorrow may or
may not be expected to arrive on the scene.