On Oct 19, 8:04*pm, D. LaCourse wrote:
On 2010-10-19 07:30:45 -0400, riverman said:

...watch the international news from HK in about 3 days. In fact, true
to form, I have plane tickets our from HK airport at 11pm on Friday,
which is precisely the hour, and the location, that all models from
the JTWC predict to worst to be.

Ugh. This has the potential to be very very ugly. You heard it here
first.

Once again, possibly from the middle of it all. :-(

--riverman

It hit the Philippines very hard, and looks like it may increase in
strength on its way to the mainland. *I hope you and yours are ok. *I
lived through a couple of nasty ones in the 50s while in Japan.

Dave

Oh, we'll be okay, but its very possible that our house will flood.
Ugh,

I have to make the big decision tomorrow before dinnertime if I should
cancel my plane tickets or not, and stick around to keep an eye on
things. This projection right now http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-p...ngs/wp1510.gif
shows the track going directly through the airport, with landfall
pretty much precisely when our flight is supposed to depart (Friday
night at 2300). The text says all the different projection models are
in very high agreement of the track (with the usual uncertainties). If
they're right and its a direct hit, and we're delayed by 6 hours or
so, we'll miss our connecting flights, our car and hotel rentals will
change, and on the dominoes fall. Might be worth just deciding to
change our tickets now, delay our departure for a day or two and skip
the first phase of our vacation.

Hmm, hard decisions....keeping my eyes glued to the models.

--riverman