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OK, so I barely understand the details of the bailout, but that still
puts me ahead of Bush. Seriously; I have no misconceptions that a C- student who has never run a successful business has ANY idea of the details or the complexity of the bailout; hell, I know PhDs in economics who aren't really sure themselves...so every time I read some news article where he states uncategorically how necessary it is, or how the US economy will go down the tubes without it, I have to wonder why is he so adamant about it. What could his handlers have explained to him in high-school terminology to convince him that we need to toss that kind of money around, while we are bankrupting ourselves over a worthless war, a tanking economy and a housing brick. Here's my theory. The overall bailout plan is fairly straightforward (if you neglect the details): the US Gov't buys a truckload of 'bad' morgages (IOW, takes ownership of a bunch of foreclosed properties from speculators, mostly) at 'current market rates'. This infuses the banks who are holding these bad mortagages with real currency, and they unload bad debts, and its happy days for them; they dodged a bullet. Meanwhile, the US Govt is holding title to all these properties that it acquired at market rates, right at a time when the housing market is rock-bottom. I'm not sure if they are buying these mortgages for the mature value, their balance due, or if they are acquiring them for the current sellable price of the property, but in any case, with market conditions the way they are, its a firesale. So in 3-5 years, now that the banking sector is back on its feet, the housing anti-bubble has reinflated, and all the americans who are terrified about where to keep their money decide that Real Estate is the best place (since housing prices are so low), the market starts to soar. Then the Govt starts selling these properties off...bit by bit...until they have increased their profit multifold, just as any homeowner wants to do. The end result: there is a huge surge of profits from Gov't Owned properties that gets applied toward the National Debt, and Bush gets to claim from his comfy lecture tour circuit that he saved the day for the National Debt, paid for the War on Terror, and salvaged the US Financial system. LOL --riverman |
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