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#41
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And speaking of the, um, "arts"...
On Thu, 28 Aug 2008 21:22:22 GMT, "Tom Littleton"
wrote: To my poll-loving pal in the Deep South: here's a few to mull over: http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/ whilst digesting those, consider this......my take, and it's limited to what I am seeing on the ground in PA, is that polls are consistently under-estimating Obama voters by close to 6%, on average. Due to a strong group of younger voters, with no land line or listed phones, I don't know if any of these pollsters have the survey demographics set up right. Now, RDean, as you know, I have always been leery of polls for much beyond trending data, so I am hopeful, but hardly cocky over the whole matter. Tom The Gallup is at Obama up 6, Rass is Obama by 1, with leaners, even. I'm still mildly surprised that Obama hasn't gotten a bigger bounce. I think McCain's bounce, if any, will add the necessary info to indicate a trend. If McCain's bounce is equal to Obama's, I'd say it's still just about a dead heat, but if McCain's convention bounce is bigger, it would indicate for McCain, and if markedly less, I'd say the trend is for Obama. If McCain's numbers are looking up (or Obama's down) 10 days after RNC, I'd say it's McCain, barring anything strange. As to the general polls, I'd agree - they are strictly trend indicators (at best). But when the supposedly-hated GOP's candidate is neck-and-neck with the Dem candidate, I'd say the one trend that is clearly shown is that this thing is looks like it's gonna be close. You know, sorta like what I've been saying for months... TC, R |
#42
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And speaking of the, um, "arts"...
On Aug 28, 12:04*am, wrote:
Um, OK.So, what has Obama done that has you convinced he's just the ginchiest, there, Gidget? I didn't say anything about Obama, Harriet, and you might have noticed that if you weren't taken with your Gidget toe fetish :-) |
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