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![]() "Tim Lysyk" wrote in message news:te91i.7991$g63.2980@edtnps82... Wolfgang wrote: The encouraging news is [insert encouraging news here......someone.....anyone]. Wolfgang The encouraging news is that epidemics (epizootics in this case) are usually self limiting, the media tends to greatly over-exagerate the effects of such outbreaks, etc. You're right, one tends to become numb and different, but how many disasters have been said to be about to befall us, and nothing really, come of them? True enough, bad news sells and that's reason enough to amplify. And, yes, many epizootics have established themselves in all corners of the world to such an extent that most residents don't know that they aren't natives (but then, they don't know whether or not the natives are natives, either), and without causing economic or environmental upheavals.....that most people noticed. But this is by no means always the case. Precisely what the cost has been (and continues to be) is difficult to determine in large part because the value of what is lost is not universally (or even widely) agreed upon even when a figure can be put to it, and because the changes generally take long enough that most people, who aren't paying attention anyway, scarcely notice. The current concerns about a possible collapse of the Great Lakes ecosystem due to the introduction of VHS is a good example of how these things work, I think. Odds are that it won't kill every fish in the lakes. Many.....perhaps the vast majority.....will probably survive. On the other hand, this COULD be the exception to the rule. There are only so many empty chamber in the gun. Meanwhile, most people, even including those who cry doom at each new invasion, are blithely unaware that the Great Lakes ecosystem already HAS collapsed. I grew up, and have spent most of my life, within a few miles of Lake Michigan. The changes that have occurred within the last half century are staggering. Today, there is just a pitiful remnant of a once thriving commercial fishery. As a boy, I participated in an annual summer-long slaughter of yellow perch from the lighthouse jetty in the Kenosha harbor that would have made the proud authors of three hundred dead fish per day adventures in the trout streams of old New England blanch. In those days, you could, if you were enterprising and had the rare luxury of a large freezer, feed a family for the year on the catch in the yearly spring run of smelt, itself an introduced species. If you could afford a nickel for a beer you could gorge yourself on free fried fish in any of a hundred local taverns. Lake trout, perch, whitefish and chubs were sneered at by anyone with a decent income because they were so cheap that they couldn't possibly be any good. Granted, the demise of this seemingly inexhaustible larder was not due entirely to the introduction of exotics. In fact, the smelt alone is a strong argument to the contrary. Pollution and over-harvesting also played an obvious and major part. But there is no denying that the sea lamprey did incalculable damage to the large predatory fishes by the time it peaked in the 50s and the alewife population exploded as a result. Anyone who spent time on (or within a mile of) a Lake Michigan beach on a hot summer day in the 60s should have a keen appreciation the possible consequences of epizootic invasions. In the last decade or so, the effects of the zebra mussel have come....or at least started to come....to fruition. Despite encrusting every solid surface, including, importantly, such things as water intakes (thereby reducing their effective diameter....which can be a serious problem in applications like cooling a power plant) and changing the composition of beaches and lake bottom, and changing the chemical composition of the water through uptake of carbonate ions....despite all this, it looked for a while (at least to the casual observer) like they might actually prove to be somewhat beneficial in that they were highly efficient at filtering the water and thereby improving its clarity vastly. Well, that's the trouble with the casual observer. They increased water clarity by filtering out (among other things) much of the food that forms the base of the Lake's food chain. This is a bad thing....very bad. To make matters worse, the increased light penetration has also triggered algal blooms that currently leave the beaches piled high with a reeking mass of rotting vegetation that must strike a nostalgic chord in the heart of anyone who remembers millions of tons of putrescent alewives and stupendous hordes of flies and maggots fondly. There's more......LOTS more.....but, you get the picture. ![]() Just this parting thought, though. All of this would have been a lot easier to deal with if it had just happened a bit sooner. In the 50s, the beach was a wonderful place to go and play in the water (despite the crowds.....which no longer exist there), but it wasn't necessary to go there to beat the summer heat. One could have sat in the cool shade on the front porch along any of thousands of elm roofed tunnels that used to be the urban streets in this part of the world and been philosophical about all of it. Anyone who has seen those streets then and now has a visceral understanding of what the word "hideous" means. Wolfgang |
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