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On Jan 1, 7:47*pm, Dave LaCourse wrote:
Well Dave we are soon going to get to the second phase. You see when you starve an animal, it gets angry, and then it bites. Allot of this is about Olmert, already in legal trouble over corruption in Israel, and condemned by combat soldier groups IN ISRAEL for the mismanagement of the recent Israeli defeat in Lebanon at the hands of Hezbollah, so Olmert and some others are trying to maintain the myth of Israeli military invincibility. Hamas has nothing in the air to take on the Israeli 300+ fighters and ground attack planes, nor can the Arab world deter the minimum of 100 to max 400 nukes estimated the Israelis have, so Hamas' armed wing is waiting. Hamas is in tunnels and bunkers 20 meters down, waiting for the Israeli ground assault. They will follow the same plan that Hezbollah developed for Lebanon. Hamas will let the Israeli ground attack, tanks and APCs, pass, on into the densest built-up areas, where the tanks will be in single and double echelon. And then Hamas will use tactics like so . . . they will cripple one of the vehicles back in the line, and then take on the individual vehicles in detail (example, rpgs to screw up the automated turret defense guns, then something to cook the tank etc etc.). As the Israelis retreat/reposition Hamas will attrit them using roadside munitions etc.. Hamas is likely to use the same cellular C&C structure of small, independent units, empowered with prepositioned munitions, and independent tasking and decision authority. It will be bloody, and count on the Israelis using white phosphorus and DU. But say what you will, the IDF reservists are not the USMC, and the IDF ground will have high casualties. Maybe a high causality, second defeat will pull down the Israeli rightwingers. I doubt it. I worry that in a full bore defeat, the Israelis will use one of their nukes, like they almost did once befor. Israel needs to make peace with its neighbors and recognize the right of Palestine to exist as a nation within the pre-1967 borders. If Israel continues to hold the Palestinians captive within an expanded Israel, the simple arithmetic of birthrates will ultimately eliminate the reality of a majority Jewish State. People who "support Israel" thru blind acceptance of rightwing Israeli actions and tactics, no matter how stupid or short sighted, need to consider the long term outcomes. David |
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![]() On Fri, 2 Jan 2009 11:45:24 -0800 (PST), DaveS wrote: On Jan 1, 7:47*pm, Dave LaCourse wrote: Well Dave we are soon going to get to the second phase. You see when you starve an animal, it gets angry, and then it bites. Allot of this is about Olmert, already in legal trouble over corruption in Israel, and condemned by combat soldier groups IN ISRAEL for the mismanagement of the recent Israeli defeat in Lebanon at the hands of Hezbollah, so Olmert and some others are trying to maintain the myth of Israeli military invincibility. Hamas has nothing in the air to take on the Israeli 300+ fighters and ground attack planes, nor can the Arab world deter the minimum of 100 to max 400 nukes estimated the Israelis have, so Hamas' armed wing is waiting. Hamas is in tunnels and bunkers 20 meters down, waiting for the Israeli ground assault. They will follow the same plan that Hezbollah developed for Lebanon. Hamas will let the Israeli ground attack, tanks and APCs, pass, on into the densest built-up areas, where the tanks will be in single and double echelon. And then Hamas will use tactics like so . . . they will cripple one of the vehicles back in the line, and then take on the individual vehicles in detail (example, rpgs to screw up the automated turret defense guns, then something to cook the tank etc etc.). As the Israelis retreat/reposition Hamas will attrit them using roadside munitions etc.. Hamas is likely to use the same cellular C&C structure of small, independent units, empowered with prepositioned munitions, and independent tasking and decision authority. It will be bloody, and count on the Israelis using white phosphorus and DU. But say what you will, the IDF reservists are not the USMC, and the IDF ground will have high casualties. Maybe a high causality, second defeat will pull down the Israeli rightwingers. I doubt it. I worry that in a full bore defeat, the Israelis will use one of their nukes, like they almost did once befor. Israel needs to make peace with its neighbors and recognize the right of Palestine to exist as a nation within the pre-1967 borders. If Israel continues to hold the Palestinians captive within an expanded Israel, the simple arithmetic of birthrates will ultimately eliminate the reality of a majority Jewish State. People who "support Israel" thru blind acceptance of rightwing Israeli actions and tactics, no matter how stupid or short sighted, need to consider the long term outcomes. David Wow. You seem to be celebrating Israels defeat and death before it happens. Will you open a bottle of bubbly, have your far left friends over and celebrate. I'd feed 'em matza balls and Mogan David wine. That should get some chuckles out of your anti-Israeli crowd. It is a two way street, David. All the Palestinians have to say is, "Yes, Israel has a right to exist," and there will be no more war. Until they do, the fighting and dying will continue. The Arabs REFUSE to accept Israel. So, now what? Nuclear war with Iran? Count on it if something isn't done. I pray Obama can bring some sense to both sides, but until he does, I will pray that Israel exist and thrive. If the outside world punches her, she will punch back. Go Israel, Survive Dave, RWC |
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