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![]() Scott Seidman wrote: Boy, I'd love to see the original paper. Just to lend a scientists eye to this paragraph, I've seen the techniques used by the NYS DEC, and frankly question such an organization's ability to quantify the fish population to within 20%. You'd have a hard time convincing me that Montana can do much better. When I see a 20% difference in this context, my thought process brings me to "about the same". Could be that the data collectors just had a better day of shocking in their control region. Next, you'd have to show me some convincing data that fish populations in the C and R area were EVER the same as in the closed section, given the same techniques for population assessment. How far apart are they? Is the forage base the same? Water chemistry? Bank and bed conditions? Bird predation? Pollution? Now, having demonstrated that a) the population difference is real, and b) the population difference (if any) is not a natural manifestation of the habitat (i.e., that their "control" no-fishing region is a valid comparison), you've still got a long way to go to establish that the difference is due to release mortality. At the very least, you'd have to provide me with a good harvest estimate, a good population estimate, a ballpark release mortality estimate, and then show me that the numbers would add up to a 20% population hit. Not that I have any problem believing that C and R fishing access can cause a 20% population hit, I just have a hard time believing that a DNR can prove it. I was interested too, but I wasn't able to find the original paper. I'll look some more when I have time. You make some good points, but in a natural system like a river, it is extremely difficult/impossible to control all the variables. The results you get are from a survey, not an experiment. A couple things: The two sections of river are contiguous sections of the Madison and they are VERY similar (part of the "fifty mile riffle"). I'm "sure" they measured fish populations in both pre and post. There was no legal harvest on either section. Before the study, they both had the same regulations. Montana has the most professional state fish and game department that I'm aware of. During one of the Claves we ran into State workers doing fish counts and measurements. They actually try and manage their fisheries based on SCIENCE. I wish Colorado even approached their philosophy. They're the State that showed that the introduction of catchable trout into a system that has a self sustaining trout population, actually reduces the trout holding capacity of the system. They followed that up by stopping the stocking of catchable in most? of their streams and rivers, although, at the time, I'm sure it was a very unpopular decision. That study is on the internet and I'm guessed that the methodology is similar. You're right the study isn't perfect but it's the best that we have for measuring C&R mortality over time. IMO, it is MUCH better than the C&R mortality "experiments" that have been done. I think that more significant variables are controlled in this type of study than in the C&R "experiments". Willi |
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